Over but not done

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Over but not done The First Minister talking to Syrian refugees at a polling station in her constituency. Molly Pollock takes a look at some of the changes we might expect to see with new faces on the SNP benches The voting is over, as now are the two nailbiting days of waiting impatiently for results. Will this seat be lost, that seat won? Ecstatic cheers when a seat came our way, but a recognition too that our gain was another’s loss – a… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Over but not done

64 – 8- 0

Source:: NewsNet Scotland 64 – 8- 0 By Russell Bruce Bit of a way to go till the dust settles into what will be a new parliament and the future mood across the independence movement. Deep divisions were on display during the long lead up to this election with continous attacks on the leadership of First Minister Nicola Sturgeon. Newsnet supported the SNP and the Greens with considerably ‘less enthusiasm’ for Alba. Like others, we stated our predictions prior to the election. We underestimated the ‘back a… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland 64 – 8- 0

Turnout deciding factor

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Turnout deciding factor By Russell Bruce We have now had 5 polls published in the last two days, so what do they tell us about this most important of Scottish elections in the history of the Scottish Parliament? We can come to some broad conclusions where there is a considerable degree of certainty. 1. The SNP will be the biggest party. 2. The Conservatives will remain the main opposition. 3. The Lib Dems are unlikely to see much change in the number of… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Turnout deciding factor

Scotland’s sustainable future

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Scotland’s sustainable future Màiri McAllan is one of the very talented SNP women candidates we expect to hear a lot more of in the future. She is the SNP candidate for Clydesdale. If elected, she intends to: “help build a recovery from Covid-19 which is fair, inclusive, green and focused on the wellbeing of our people and planet. This year has been tough but amid the darkness and disruption we have a chance to piece our economy and society back together differently. I… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Scotland’s sustainable future

A calm perspective on Scotland’s future

Source:: NewsNet Scotland A calm perspective on Scotland’s future By Russell Bruce With the election just a few days away, this reminder that this is not an independence election is timely. We are electing a government to run Scotland, to stand up for Scotand and the encroachment by Johnson’s government that is changing the union from one of consent to the force of Westminster law. The commitment from Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP is to offer the people of Scotland a legal referendum when the danger of the Covid… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland A calm perspective […]

Polls, marginals and devolved government

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Polls, marginals and devolved government By Russell Bruce There are fundamental questions on the core purpose of Holyrood elections which are getting lost in a premature and immature Trumpian mish-mash of outpourings from the 2% party with its coterie of ‘Sturgeon must resign’ folllowers. Whatever mixed messages are coming out of the polls there is no doubt the SNP will win the election and Nicola Sturgeon is poised to become First Minister in the new parliament. As we have predicted before Nicola Sturgeon will not… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Polls, marginals and devolved […]

Oh God! another poll

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Oh God! another poll By Russell Bruce Maybe we should just talk about ‘abrdn’ or if competely disemvoweled ‘brdn’. Weird that the reorientated Standard Life Aberdeen into becoming an asset management company can’t find a new brand name to reflect whatever it is in the process of becoming. But they have given the media and Twitter much fun as a distraction from the big issues facing both Scotland and ‘poor’ (can’t live on his miserable salary and perks) Boris Johnson who seems to have… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Oh God! another poll

Should we hold a 2% silence for Alba?

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Should we hold a 2% silence for Alba? By Russell Bruce As we can’t be bothered with that perhaps the 1% on the Savanta Comres poll would be enough. Lots of odd list parties attempting to get a few handfuls of votes in this election. This new Survation poll for The Sunday Post puts Alba on 3% so the average of the latest 3 polls gives Alba just 2% with the margin of error at this level a bit under 1%. The poll also confirms Salmond’s extremely low… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Should […]

South of Scotland marginals and reverse targeting

Source:: NewsNet Scotland South of Scotland marginals and reverse targeting By Russell Bruce We thought we would take a look at what is happening in the South of Scotland and what needs to be done to break that blue line along the border. So we will take it constituency by constituency. We have uncovered data that voters might find helpful in their decision to cast their votes in the days remaining as postal votes land on the doormat. For independence supporters the only two parties it makes sense to vote… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland South of […]

The red, white and blue cage

Source:: NewsNet Scotland The red, white and blue cage By Molly Pollock, Research Editor Much publicity and lavish praise has been heaped upon the recent paper and lecture given by Ciaran Martin, Professor of Practice in the Management of Public Organisations, Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford. Professor Sir Tom Devine called the paper “Powerful and penetrating.” His paper: Resist, reform or re-run: short- and long-term reflections on Scotland and independence referendums, and the video of his lecture can be accessed here. Between 2014 and 2020 Professor Martin… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland The red, white […]

4 April polls show SNP consolidation

Source:: NewsNet Scotland 4 April polls show SNP consolidation By Russell Bruce Whilst we wait for the next clutch of polls a quick look at what the first part of April indicated compared to the latter part of March. Again we have given four polls from 4 different polling companies equal weight as they were conducted and published over a relatively short period. Constituencies Short-run poll of polls only tell us so much and different results for individual parties tend to be within a fairly narrow range. Constituency polling… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland 4 April polls […]

Children, rights and Tories

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Children, rights and Tories Newsnet’s research editor Molly Pollock looks at the background to Westminster’s sudden interest in challenging legislation passed by the Scottish Parliament in accordance with the Parliament’s powers. By Molly Pollock The UK government has taken the decision to refer two Holyrood laws to the UK Supreme Court to decide if, in introducing and passing these bills, the Scottish Parliament has gone beyond its devolved powers despite the Lord Advocate and Parliament’s Presiding Officer allowing the passage of the bills, considering… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Children, rights and Tories

SNP and Greens heading for big Indy majority, Alba stuck on 3%

Source:: NewsNet Scotland SNP and Greens heading for big Indy majority, Alba stuck on 3% By Russell Bruce The Ipsos MORI poll for STV indicates steady progress for the SNP and the Greens. Ipsos are predicting 70 seats for the SNP, 25 for the Conservatives, 19 for Labour, 11 for the Greens and 4 to the LibDems. The Alba party are stuck on 3% along with a further 2% for the other miscellaneous parties. Based on this poll, 5% of regional list votes will fail to elect anybody. People have the right in a democracy… Read the full […]

There’ll always be a Europe

Source:: NewsNet Scotland There’ll always be a Europe By Russell Bruce But will there’ll always be an England? This song dating from just before WW11 became a big hit for Vera Lynn and exemplifies three things in how Tory/Brexit England perceives itself in the world. First the exclusion of the other nations of these islands as having any importance, England the sole nation of relevance. Secondly if England and other European nations were in danger from the rise of fascism in Europe that was of little concern to… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland There’ll always be a […]

Polls: a look at the longer story

Source:: NewsNet Scotland Polls: a look at the longer story By Russell Bruce As each poll comes out independence supporters are looking to see what the immediate up/down short term implications might be. That is the nature of human reaction to the here and now. Newsnet thought it important to go back 3 years to show what the long-term trend was and how the trend in 2021, at the end of the first quarter, with regular polling is shaping up. As at this point there is no polling information on… Read the full article:: NewsNet Scotland Polls: a […]